Fight of the Century

Fight of the Century

歌名 Fight of the Century
歌手 EconStories
专辑 Keynes vs. Hayek
原歌词
[00:00.000] 作曲 : John Papola
[00:00.300]
[00:02.000] John Maynard Keynes
[00:04.000] F.A. Hayek F·A·
[00:06.000] Round 2 rap
[00:08.000] Round 2.0 2.0
[00:12.000] Same economists
[00:14.000] Same beliefs
[00:15.000] New microphones
[00:17.000] New moustaches
[00:22.000] Here we are, peace out great recession
[00:24.000] Thanks to me, as you see, we are not in a depression
[00:26.000] Recovery, destiny, if you follow my lesson
[00:29.000] Lord Keynes, here I come, line up for your procession
[00:32.000] We brought out shovels but we are still in a ditch
[00:34.000] And still digging, don’t you think it’s time for a switch?
[00:37.000] From that hair of the dog, friend the party is over
[00:40.000] The long run is here, it’s time to get sober
[00:42.000] Are you kidding? My cure works perfectly fine
[00:45.000] Have a look the Great Recession ended back in 09
[00:48.000] I deserve credits, things would have been worse
[00:50.000] All the estimates prove that and I’ll quote chapter and verse
[00:53.000] The econometricians, they are ever so pious
[00:56.000] Are they doing real science or confirming their bias?
[00:58.000] Their Keynesian models are tidy and neat
[01:00.000] But that top-down approach is a fatal conceit
[01:04.000] Which way should we choose?
[01:07.000] More bottom-up or more top-down?
[01:10.000] The fight continues
[01:12.000] Keynes and Hayek’s second round
[01:15.000] It’s time to weigh in
[01:17.000] More from the top or from the ground
[01:21.000] Let’s listen to the greats
[01:23.000] Keynes and Hayek throwing down
[01:25.000] We could have done better had we only spent more
[01:28.000] Too bad, that only happens when there’s a world war
[01:30.000] You can carp all you want about stats and regression
[01:33.000] Do you deny World War II cut short the Depression?
[01:35.000] Wow, one data point and you are jumping for joy,
[01:38.000] The last time I checked wars only destroy
[01:41.000] There was no multiplier, consumption just shrank
[01:43.000] ‘Cause we use scarce resources for every new tank
[01:46.000] Pretty perverse to call that prosperity
[01:49.000] Rationed meat, rationed butter, a life of austerity
[01:52.000] When that war spending ended your friends cried disaster
[01:55.000] Yet the economy thrived and grew faster
[02:02.000] You too, only see what you want to see
[02:05.000] The spending on war clearly goosed GDP
[02:07.000] Unemployment was over, almost down to zero
[02:09.998] That’s why I’m the master, that’s why I’m the hero
[02:12.998] Creating employment is a straightforward craft
[02:15.998] When the nation’s at war, and there’s a draft
[02:17.998] If every worker was staffed in the army and fleet
[02:20.998] We’d have full employment, and nothing to eat
[02:28.998] Which way should we choose?
[02:31.998] More bottom-up or more top-down?
[02:34.998] The fight continues
[02:36.998] Keynes and Hayek’s second round
[02:39.998] It’s time to weigh in
[02:42.998] More from the top or from the ground
[02:45.998] Let’s listen to the greats
[02:48.998] Keynes and Hayek throwing down
[02:49.998] Jobs are the means, not the ends themselves,
[02:52.998] People work to live better, to put food on their shelves
[02:54.998] Real growth means production of what people demand
[02:57.998] That’s entrepreneurship, not your central plan
[02:59.998] My solution is simple, and easy to handle
[03:02.998] It’s spending that matters, why’s that such a scandal?
[03:05.998] Money sloshes through the pipes and the sluices
[03:07.998] Revitalising the economy’s juices
[03:10.998] It’s just like an engine that’s stalled and gone dark
[03:12.998] To bring it to life, we need a quick spark
[03:15.998] Spending is the life blood that gets the flow going
[03:18.998] Where it goes? Doesn’t matter
[03:20.998] Just get spending flowing
[03:21.998] You see slack in some sectors as a “general glut”
[03:23.998] But some sectors are healthy only some are in a rut
[03:26.998] So spending is not free, that’s the heart of the matter
[03:29.998] Too much is wasted as cronies get fatter
[03:32.998] The economy’s not a car, there’s no engine to stall
[03:34.998] No expert can fix it, there’s no “it” at all
[03:37.998] The economy’s us, we don’t need a mechanic
[03:39.998] Put away the wrenches, the economy’s organic!
[03:43.998] Which way should we choose?
[03:45.998] More bottom-up or more top-down?
[03:48.998] The fight continues
[03:51.998] Keynes and Hayek’s second round
[03:53.998] It’s time to weigh in
[03:56.998] More from the top or from the ground
[03:59.998] Let’s listen to the greats
[04:02.998] Keynes and Hayek throwing down
[04:03.998] So what would you do to help those unemployed
[04:06.998] This is the question you seem to avoid
[04:09.998] When we are in a mess, would you have us just wait
[04:11.998] Doing nothing, until market equilibrates?
[04:14.998] I don’t want to do nothing, there’s plenty to do
[04:17.999] The question I ponder is who plans for whom
[04:20.999] Do I plan for myself, or leave it to you
[04:22.999] I want plans by the many, not by the few
[04:25.999] Let’s not repeat what created our troubles
[04:27.999] I want real growth, not a series of bubbles
[04:30.999] Stop bailing out losers, let prices work
[04:33.999] If we don’t try to steer them, they won’t go berserk!
[04:35.999] Come on, are you kidding, don’t Wall Street’s gyrations?
[04:38.999] Challenge your world view of self-regulation?
[04:41.999] Even you must admit the lesson we’ve learnt is more oversight’s needed or else we’ll get burnt
[04:46.999] Oversight? The government’s long been in bed
[04:48.999] With the Wall Street execs and the firms that they bled
[04:51.999] Capitalism is about profit and loss
[04:54.999] If you bail out losers there’s no end to the cost
[04:56.999] The lesson I’ve learnt is how little we know
[04:59.999] The world is complex, not some circular flow
[05:02.999] The economy is not a class you can master in college
[05:05.999] To think otherwise is the pretence of knowledge
[05:08.999] Which way should we choose?
[05:10.999] More bottom-up or more top-down?
[05:13.999] The fight continues
[05:16.999] Keynes and Hayek’s second round
[05:18.999] It’s time to weigh in
[05:21.999] More from the top or from the ground
[05:24.999] Let’s listen to the greats
[05:27.999] Keynes and Hayek throwing down
[05:28.999] You get on your high horse and you’re off to the races
[05:31.999] I look at the world on a case-by-case basis
[05:34.999] When people are suffering, I roll up my sleeves
[05:36.999] And do what I can to cure our disease
[05:39.999] The future’s uncertain, our outlooks are frail
[05:42.999] That’s why free markets are so prone to fail
[05:44.999] In a volatile world, we need more discretion
[05:47.999] So state intervention can counter depression
[05:50.999] People aren’t chessmen you can move on a board at your whim
[05:53.999] Their dreams and desires ignored
[05:55.999] With political incentives, discretion’s a joke
[05:58.999] Those dials you are twisting are just mirrors and smoke
[06:01.999] We need stable rules and real market prices
[06:03.999] So prosperity emerges and cut short the crisis
[06:06.999] Give us a chance so we can discover the most valuable ways to serve one another
[06:14.999] Which way should we choose?
[06:17.999] More bottom-up or more top-down?
[06:20.999] The fight continues
[06:23.999] Keynes and Hayek’s second round
[06:25.999] It’s time to weigh in
[06:28.999] More from the top or from the ground
[06:31.999] Let’s listen to the greats
[06:34.999] Keynes and Hayek throwing down
[06:47.999] Which way should we choose?
[06:50.999] More bottom-up or more top-down?
[06:52.999] The fight continues
[06:55.999] Keynes and Hayek’s second round
[06:58.999] It’s time to weigh in
[07:00.999] More from the top or from the ground
[07:04.999] Let’s listen to the greats
[07:06.999] Keynes and Hayek throwing down
歌词翻译
[00:00.300]
[00:02.000] 约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯
[00:04.000] 哈耶克
[00:06.000] 大战第二轮
[00:08.000] 版本
[00:12.000] 同样的经济学家
[00:14.000] 同样的思想
[00:15.000] 全新的麦克风
[00:17.000] 全新的小胡子
[00:22.000] 我们度过了金融危机,毫发无伤
[00:24.000] 多亏了我,你们看,我们并没有陷入下一个萧条
[00:26.000] 只要你们按我说的做,经济恢复就是命中注定
[00:29.000] 我凯恩斯勋爵来了,准备好排队庆祝吧
[00:32.000] 我们手拿着铁锹,但却深陷自己挖的坑中
[00:34.000] 我们还在不断挖掘,你难道不觉得是时候停下来了吗?
[00:37.000] 开支的狂欢已经结束
[00:40.000] 现在该考虑“长期”了,是时候冷静下来了
[00:42.000] 你在搞笑吗?我的解决方式堪称完美
[00:45.000] 好好看看,金融危机在09年就结束了
[00:48.000] 我立了大功,经济本来会糟的多
[00:50.000] 所有计算都证明这一点,我可以一一道来
[00:53.000] 计量经济学家们是如此的虔诚
[00:56.000] 他们究竟是在研究科学还是确认自己的偏见?
[00:58.000] 他们的凯恩斯宏观模型看起来完美无瑕
[01:00.000] 但我们能自上至下管理经济这种想法简直就是致命的自负
[01:04.000] 我们应该如何选择?
[01:07.000] 由下至上,还是由上至下?
[01:10.000] 论战还在继续
[01:12.000] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮论战
[01:15.000] 是时候加入辩论了
[01:17.000] 由上至下,还是由下至上?
[01:21.000] 让我们听听伟人们的看法吧
[01:23.000] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮大战
[01:25.000] 只要我们花的更多,经济就能表现得更好
[01:28.000] 真可惜,只有世界大战时我们才花的最多
[01:30.000] 你可以对统计数据和回归分析嗤之以鼻
[01:33.000] 但你真的能否认二战缩短了大萧条吗?
[01:35.000] 嚯,一个数据点就让你高兴地跳起来了
[01:38.000] 据我的研究,战争只能带来破坏
[01:41.000] 根本就没有什么“乘数效应”,消费只是在萎缩
[01:43.000] 因为我们把稀缺的资源都花在了战争上
[01:46.000] 说这是经济繁荣根本就是一派胡言
[01:49.000] 限量供给的肉,限量供给的黄油,紧缩中的生活
[01:52.000] 当战争的花销结束时你说这对经济是一场灾难
[01:55.000] 但经济只在这时候才是真正的繁荣
[02:02.000] 但你也一样,只看到了你想看到的
[02:05.000] 战时开支明显增加了GDP
[02:07.000] 失业率几乎为零
[02:09.998] 这就是为什么我是大师,为什么我是英雄
[02:12.998] 在国家征兵的时候
[02:15.998] 创造工作可太简单了
[02:17.998] 如果我们所有的劳动力都被安插到了军队里
[02:20.998] 我们是会有充分的就业,但这毫无意义
[02:28.998] 我们应该如何选择?
[02:31.998] 由下至上,还是由上至下?
[02:34.998] 论战还在继续
[02:36.998] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮论战
[02:39.998] 是时候加入辩论了
[02:42.998] 由上至下,还是由下至上?
[02:45.998] 让我们听听伟人们的看法吧
[02:48.998] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮大战
[02:49.998] 工作是手段,而不是目的
[02:52.998] 人们工作是为了自己生活的更好,能让自己果腹
[02:54.998] 真正的经济增长表现在满足人们的需求上
[02:57.998] 这是企业家精神的结果,而不是你的中央计划
[02:59.998] 我的解决方式简单好用
[03:02.998] 真正重要的是支出,为什么你无法认同?
[03:05.998] 金钱循环流动
[03:07.998] 重振经济的活力
[03:10.998] 这就像一个熄了火的引擎
[03:12.998] 想让它重新工作,我们只需要一点火花
[03:15.998] 支出就是让金钱流动的关键
[03:18.998] 钱花在了哪?那根本不重要
[03:20.998] 只要能够循环流动就行!
[03:21.998] 你说部分行业的萧条是一种“普遍过剩”
[03:23.998] 但只有一部分产业陷入了萧条,另一些却很健康
[03:26.998] 问题的关键是开支并非免费
[03:29.998] 太多资源被浪费在了裙带关系上
[03:32.998] 经济才不是什么车,也没有什么引擎
[03:34.998] 没人能修好经济,因为“经济“根本就不存在
[03:37.998] 经济就是我们自己,我们才不需要什么机修工
[03:39.998] 把你的扳手放下吧,经济是有机的!
[03:43.998] 我们应该如何选择?
[03:45.998] 由下至上,还是由上至下?
[03:48.998] 论战还在继续
[03:51.998] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮论战
[03:53.998] 是时候加入辩论了
[03:56.998] 由上至下,还是由下至上?
[03:59.998] 让我们听听伟人们的看法吧
[04:02.998] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮大战
[04:03.998] 你又会怎么帮助那些失业者呢?
[04:06.998] 这似乎是你一直在回避的问题
[04:09.998] 当经济陷入萧条时,你就让我们等着吗
[04:11.998] 无所作为,直到市场自我均衡?
[04:14.998] 这并非无所作为,我们有很多事可做
[04:17.999] 我考虑的问题是我们该如何计划
[04:20.999] 是我自己动手,还是交给你来做
[04:22.999] 我想要多数人的决定,而不是少数人的暴政
[04:25.999] 我们不能重复我们的祸根
[04:27.999] 我想要的是真正的经济增长,而不是一系列泡沫
[04:30.999] 别再帮助输家了,让价格机制发挥作用
[04:33.999] 如果我们不试图控制他们,他们就不会发疯
[04:35.999] 什么,你在开玩笑吗,你难道想让华尔街停止波动?
[04:38.999] 挑战了你依靠“自动调节”的世界观了吗
[04:41.999] 即使是你也要承认我们需要更多的政府监管,否则我们就会有大麻烦
[04:46.999] 政府监管?
[04:48.999] 政府和华尔街的企业家们沆瀣一气
[04:51.999] 资本主义关乎利润和损失
[04:54.999] 你要想帮助输家,你就别想省钱了
[04:56.999] 从我们的经济中,我只学到了我们知之甚少
[04:59.999] 世界是复杂的,而不是什么循环流动
[05:02.999] 别以为你能在大学里学会经济
[05:05.999] 你学到的不过是知识的假象
[05:08.999] 我们应该如何选择?
[05:10.999] 由下至上,还是由上至下?
[05:13.999] 论战还在继续
[05:16.999] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮论战
[05:18.999] 是时候加入辩论了
[05:21.999] 由上至下,还是由下至上?
[05:24.999] 让我们听听伟人们的看法吧
[05:27.999] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮大战
[05:28.999] 看你那趾高气昂的样子,真该去参加比赛
[05:31.999] 我用一个个案例来参透世界的奥秘
[05:34.999] 当人们在经济危机中受苦时,是我卷起了袖子
[05:36.999] 尽我所能来帮我们摆脱危机
[05:39.999] 未来是不确定的,我们的期望脆弱不堪
[05:42.999] 这就是为什么自由市场如此失败
[05:44.999] 在动荡的世界里,我们需要审慎
[05:47.999] 这就是为什么国家干预可以预防经济危机
[05:50.999] 人们不是棋盘上任你摆布的棋子
[05:53.999] 你完全忽视了他们的欲望和梦想
[05:55.999] 有了政治动机,审慎就是个笑话
[05:58.999] 你所进行的经济干预不过是个骗局
[06:01.999] 我们需要稳定的制度和真正的市场价格
[06:03.999] 只有这样才能让经济走出危机,进入繁荣
[06:06.999] 给我们一次机会,让我们看看究竟怎样才能优化这个社会
[06:14.999] 我们应该如何选择?
[06:17.999] 由下至上,还是由上至下?
[06:20.999] 论战还在继续
[06:23.999] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮论战
[06:25.999] 是时候加入辩论了
[06:28.999] 由上至下,还是由下至上?
[06:31.999] 让我们听听伟人们的看法吧
[06:34.999] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮大战
[06:47.999] 我们应该如何选择?
[06:50.999] 由下至上,还是由上至下?
[06:52.999] 论战还在继续
[06:55.999] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮论战
[06:58.999] 是时候加入辩论了
[07:00.999] 由上至下,还是由下至上?
[07:04.999] 让我们听听伟人们的看法吧
[07:06.999] 凯恩斯和哈耶克的第二轮大战